Is it safe for schools to open in the fall?
It seems like there is a ton of conflicting opinions about whether or not schools should open in the fall. What are the variables we should consider when deciding to open the schools up, and how should they be balanced against one another?
Answers ( 5 )
I keep coming back to this, thinking I've got a coherent answer, but I keep finding myself reasoning backward from the conclusion that I have reached - that it is not safe to open schools in the fall, in most of the United States. Some questions that pointed me in that direction:
If a teacher tests positive, do they quarantine for 14 days? Are those sick days? Do they still teach online classes while quarantined?
If the teacher is a parent, does their child go to quarantine? I assume all the students of the teacher are tested; if any of them show positive, obviously they go to quarantine, but how many false negatives do we assume happen? Do we just send the entire class into quarantine for 14 days? Never mind all the other students that came into contact with that one teacher's class.
One teacher testing positive can take out 150-200 students. So we need to test the parents of all of those students, right?
Who pays for all this testing? What infrastructure exists for contact tracing, and how will that be paid for? How quickly will results be returned, and how confident are they that the number of false returns is low enough to make them effective?
Do parents have to leave work to resume child care when this happens, and what protections will be put in place so that they aren't punished by their employers for needing to stay out of the workforce?
The answer is pretty simple, to me - it will be safe to return to schools when it is safe to return to something like normal life, i.e., post-vaccine. Until then, schools, which are a notoriously underfunded hotbed of viral interaction at the best of times, will simply become the next mass incubators, continuing to spread the virus in ways that cannot effectively be combated.
There may be areas where this is not the case. More remote, rural parts of the country are more likely to be able to maintain a semblance of normalcy. But for the vast majority of the US, it simply is a bad idea.
So far they are still learning a lot about the SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 - and there's no definitive and clear understanding of the disease as it is being learned on the fly. For now, I'd err on the side of caution, I do not believe it is safe to return to school.
In particular what's been seen is that children are affected differently, may suffer severe inflammations, not similar to what adults are suffering. And what they're seeing too is that the virus is affecting blood vessels, limiting the transport of oxygen to the body. So, this is NOT just a flu, it's not a bad cold either, it's still somewhat a mystery as to the full extend of the virus and even how it is being spread is now being questioned again.
My opinion is that it's not safe, not for long-extended exposure of children and adults in a confined space. It may make parents nuts keeping kids home, and may well screw up all kinds of plans for returning to work, and the future, but even though the deaths are being reduced, the infections have been increasing since lockdowns have been eased. The virus is continuing to spread, and I think caution is the best advice. But just to note further, countries in Europe have done a far better job managing the spread - we would be wise to follow that path.
And one further note, no the statistics aren't accurate, we may not get a true picture of what's happening, but we do know that of those who have spoken up, have told a story of a dreadful illness. Just using common sense, we do what we can to avoid catching someone's cold...this may be worse, and we need to be diligent about our care. Even as children, we avoided cooties as best we could - we should not make this politicial, it's our health and well-bing at stake.
One of the few benefits of this COVID-19 crisis is that it is forcing us to examine a lot of hitherto vague adjectives, like "normal" and "safe".
Obviously it is not entirely safe to open schools, as schools are an important infection-collection agency even under normal circumstances. The question is, is it safe enough? That is, do we expect the number of deaths due to spread of the virus to be less than the number of deaths due to starvation because parents can't go to work and earn a living, plus the number of deaths due to parents taking their kids to work or leaving them at home unattended, plus the number of deaths due to unforseen consequences, which always dominate every outcome? My guess is that the virus will cause more deaths, but it is probably impossible to be sure.
Sadly, this is probably not what many people mean by "safe enough". For many, a few extra deaths are a small price to pay for getting back to "normal" -- going to work and/or getting the kids out of their hair. No one expects themselves to be among the dead, and they are usually statistically justified in that expectation -- so what they are really saying is, "My livelihood is more important than your life," or even, in many cases, "My recreation is more important than your life." They have been urged to say, "My liberty is more important than your life," and indeed we make such decisions every day. I don't think we can afford to shy away from such choices, since they are being made whether we acknowledge them or not; but we need to call them what they are. We need to own responsibility for our decisions when we determine the value of a human life in units of personal freedom, productivity or dollars. So what do you think? Is it safe enough to reopen schools? Or should we adapt more thoroughly and permanently to virtual classrooms?
I am certified to teach pre-K through 12, although I've spent more than half of the last 13 years teaching high school working with around 150 students every day, five days per week plus some time on weekends for school plays, fundraisers, etc. For several decades before that I taught all ages in recreation program classes.
While no one is ever safe from every imaginable risk, returning children to schools in the midst of the pandemic is an unwise added risk. Not only the lives of our children are at risk, a much larger risk is the child carrying home COVID-19 to their parents.
Bus drivers and delivery truck drivers travel between numerous schools in a district. School nurses, specials teachers (art, music, gym, etc.) frequently split their time between more than one school building. I've seen counsellors, janitorial staff, special ed teachers or even regular classroom teachers do this in some districts. Substitute teachers go to where ever they're needed. Those who who stick to one age range work a lot less and still go to several buildings unless it is in a tiny town
Children today struggle with following directions more than in the past. Wearing a mask and maintaining social distancing are an extra set of requirements on top of the rules that most students push against and look for ways to skirt. It is a natural part of human development for children to start pushing boundaries around the time that they reach middle school/jr. high school. Teens are biologically prone to be susceptible to risk taking behavior up until their early twenties.
I am currently seeing large numbers of adults not wearing masks or leaving their nose uncovered, and we expect the young to do better? Under parental pressure many administrators under-react to student misbehavior, although minority students often receive more and harsher consequences.
Many parents tend to have rose colored glasses on in regards to how cooperative they were in the past, doubly so in terms of how their children currently behave in school. Even if your child is actually a nearly supernaturally well behaved angel, they are massively outnumbered.
We are seeing schools taking minimal measures or being unable to engorce safe behavior while hoping that parents won't know how bad conditions are. A principal has already suspended a high student for posting a video of jam packed hallways full of students not wesring masks online. Don't kid yourself for a milisecond that the suspension is simply about breaking a rule, this is retribution for exposing how badly the school is dealing with the situation.
The COVID-19 is exposing numerous flaws in US society:
Schools that are overcrowded and understaffed while being considered babysitting services that are supposed to also fill in for inadequate behavioral training is simply another one of these problems, but one that will now kill some of these children and their families.